I think this article is interesting in part because of the research it introduces but also because of this photo of the Kengun Arcade after the quakes. I hadn’t seen this photo before. Here’s a link to another article that misidentifies the arcade as being in downtown Kumamoto:

https://www.miragenews.com/international-collaboration-develops-model-for-forecasting-largest-expected-earthquakes/

– Kirk

https://globalnews.ca/news/5865354/western-university-research-earthquake/